confidently
wrong.
THE SATURDAY EXPERIMENT
BY PHIL GRAY

AN EAT. SHIFT. OR DIE. EXPERIMENT

Quite a lot
of artificial
confidence.

Melbourne Cup model predictionsFirst cut · Tuesday 3 November · 9am AEDT
Every horse has a story.
Tap one. Claude has opinions.

Phil built a racing model with AI.
The horses remain unconvinced.

Come and see
what happened
CUP PREDICTIONS / TUESDAY 9AM AEDTSCROLL TO EXPLORE

Learning about AI.
With horses.
Obviously.

What happens when you stop talking about AI and actually build something with it?

This is Phil’s answer. A racing model, a growing list of lessons, and a public record of the calls that worked. And the ones that didn’t.

The story so far

Part of Eat. Shift. Or Die. An experiment in using AI and knowing when to question it.

A horse by any other name…

24 ILLUSTRATED CHARACTERS / ONE RACE

Meet the
usual suspects.

NO. 22

Mr Monaco

Loading Claude’s saved commentary…

22 / 24

Illustrated editorial draft. Names, numbers and commentary await final field reconciliation. These are not published Cup predictions.

Prefer your own highly scientific method?

Shuffle the deck. Deal me three.

How did
we actually do?

The calls stay where we made them.
So do the misses.

Loading the verified race ledger…

Pick a race to see the frozen selections and who actually won.

Winner in the four Winner outside the four

R1 excluded from scoring. Final results only. These counts describe a small historical sample; they are not a promised success rate. “In the four” is not the same as picking the winner first.

What changed in the model?
Eat. Shift. Or Die. by Phil Gray

THE HORSES ARE ONLY ONE CHAPTER.

What will you
do with AI?

What it makes possible. Where it lets you down. And what you still have to decide.

Discover Eat. Shift. Or Die.

PASS IT ON

Share the experiment.

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The book behind the experiment.
Eat. Shift. Or Die. by Phil GrayPractical lessons from putting AI to work.

A LOOK AROUND
Feeling lucky? Deal me three

A little curiosity. A rather large spreadsheet.

THE DOSSIER