Kempsey · 2026-11-06 · R3
11 Torpedo Tube
Fair confidence · 28.9% model win estimate
Rank 1 in R3 at 28.9% (Medium), the widest gap to Rank 2 on the card (8.7 points), has had a start on heavy, no coverage flags. Considered and passed over: R6 #8 Home Siren rated higher (30.1%, High) but the frozen card flags it as never raced on this going on a Heavy 10 track. R7 and R8 are Weak/Pass. Caveats: race confidence Fair, stake guide Small, R3 predictability 0.04 is low, day layer empty (R1 and R2 still interim, no finals consumed).
Chosen 2026-11-06T14:13:28+11:00. Claude selection from the frozen model; regional exploratory research.
Miss — the selected horse did not win.
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